Welcome to week 3! This is. New write up we will try and do each week about each upcoming game, the spreads, over understanding, fantasy plays and predictions. We obviously don’t have the Browns game on here but already won money on that, not to brag…
Enjoy, hopefully you get something out of it! Any questions or comments, tweet at us!!
**Note: if we don’t mention the OU in our prediction, it means we probably wouldn’t touch it if WE were betting
Saints @ Falcons -2, OU 54 (Early slate):
This game is gonna be gunzablazin. Both teams have had their issues but both have exciting offenses and should fight for playoff spots. Both teams are trying to get “right.” The Saints are coming off of a pathetically awesome, lucky win vs CLE and the Falcons put together a nice win vs Cam and the Panthers. This will be a very close, high scoring match-up. No Devonta Freeman but there are a ton of good fantasy options like all three top QB, RB, WR on each side and possibly Calvin Ridley (ATL) and Ted Ginn (NO). Will Michael Thomas get 200 catches this year?
Prediction: Saints to win 37-31, cover, and over 54
Broncos @ Ravens -6, OU 45.5 (Early):
Keenum has lead the Broncos to a 2-0 start and the Ravens destroyed the Bills week 1, but struggled in Week 2 against a potentially solid Bengals team. They also don’t have a run game, which the Broncos are excellent at stopping early on. Offensively, I could see this being a shootout but I think both teams defense will make the biggest difference. Not the biggest Keenum but Flacco is a pickle. I love Emmanuel Sanders in the slot this week. This is a toss up but with Denver’s long travel and a 10 day break for the Ravens, I like the Ravens but barely. Please for the love of Trent Dilfer, give me more Lamar Jackson.
Prediction: Ravens to win 23-20, Broncos to cover
Bengals @ Panthers -3, OU 44.5 (Early):
The Bengals are off to a hot start. They’ve taken out two average squads in BAL and IND but are 2-0 nonetheless. The Panthers have looked shaky early on, even at home vs Dallas. Love Giovanni Bernard this week for Cincy and with injuries to the Carolina secondary, AJ Green could go off again. Cam is such a wildcard and will they get the ball in McCaffrey’s hands more while Olsen is still out? I like the team playing better football, and that’s the Bengals (vomits in mouth)
Prediction: Bengals to win 24-17, cover
Giants @ Texans -6, OU 43 (Early):
Two teams who had excitement coming into 2018 have fallen flat and started 0-2. The Giants may have the two best weapons in the game and are over-utilizing Saquon and not using OBJ enough. Their OLine, who now has no Ereck Flowers, is atrocious and they face a great DLine. The Giants D can’t force turnovers, and the Texans can with 6 early on. I think Deshaun slings, Lamar scores and Hopkins goes off and the Texans D finds their form against Eli. I do think OBJ gets the ball more this week and gets a score this week as well. I need an “Eli Scared” meme after JJ Watt annihilates him.
Prediction: Texans win 27-14, cover, under 43
Titans @ Jaguars -9, OU 40 (Early):
The Titans just won with Blaine Gabbert but Bortles and the gang just beat the Pats. Bortles was really good but they don’t have Fournette back which makes this game a scare for the OU. The Titans are hurt at OL but should get Lewan back. Unfortunately, no Mariota again which could make this a blowout vs this Jags D. Dion Lewis and Henry will split time and they don’t have any WR plays. The Jags are good all over and spread the ball pretty well but Keelan Cole could be a nice streamer.
Prediction: Jaguars to win 27-13, cover
49ers @ Chiefs -6.5, OU 54 (Early):
The 49ers will be a mystery all season. They have the makeup of a team that can beat some good teams and lose to some bad ones. Jimmy can sling and he hasn’t found a safety blanket yet. Breida is the NFL’s leading rusher (although that’s inflated with a long TD run) and he goes up against a D that has given up over 500 yards a game. Patrick Mahomes slings meat biscuits and this is a great matchup for him at home. Tyreek Hill and Kelce have been great fantasy performers but when does Kareem Hunt break out? I think this week at home vs an average D. Will Pat Mahomes throw 1 INT in his career?
Prediction: Chiefs win 37-27, cover, over 54
Raiders @ Dolphins -3, OU 44.5 (Early):
The Dolphins are 2-0 to open up 2018, but have beaten the Titans and Jets. I think this game will stink. The Raiders stink on both sides of the ball but Derek Carr was dynamite last week in their 20-19 loss against DEN. Tannehill has been serviceable early on but but I don’t see many fantasy options from the Dolphins other than potentially streaming Kenyan Drake. Look for Amari Cooper to continue to get tons of targets and maybe keep an eye on Jordy Nelson next week for a waiver pickup. I just hate Oakland’s travel and overall execution. If only the Raiders could find a pass rusher.
Prediction: Dolphins win 20-17, Oakland covers, under 44.5
Bills @ Vikings -16.5, OU 41.5 (Early):
The Bills have only scored 23 points in the first 2 weeks, mostly in garbage time (which is something to look at the OU). This is your lock in survivor pools. The Bills stink and they stink bad. They have no fantasy options with McCoy potentially out. The addition of Dan Bailey should end their kicking problems that killed them against GB. The Vikings D should be the best play this week, Kirk Cousins will shred for 3 quarters, Diggs, Rudolph and Thielen should all have good fantasy days but someone to look at is Latavius Murray. Dalvin Cook may be out and Murray would get the run share. Hopefully no one retires at halftime for the Bills, you’d hate to see that two weeks in a row.
Prediction: Vikings to win 34-10, cover, over 40.5
Colts @ Eagles -6.5, OU 46 (Early):
The defending Super Bowl Champions get their franchise QB back but is he ready? The Eagles are banged up with no Ajayi/Sproles and WRs missing. Enter Week 3 streamer Corey Clement who could have a nice fantasy day. I also love Zack Ertz back with Wentz. Andrew Luck is back and playing pretty well but I just don’t think they’re good enough as a team to beat the Eagles. TY and Ebron (no Doyle this week) could have big days but I wouldn’t start any IND RB. Wentzylvania will be in full effect after week 3 but Wentz could be a little rusty early on.
Prediction: Eagles to win 23-20, Colts cover, under 46.5, also like the 1st half under 23.5
Packers @ Redskins +2.5, OU 45.5 (Early):
The Packers squeaked our a big W against the Vikes and Rodgers isn’t 100%. Don’t love any GB RB but damnit do I love Davante Adams this week. The Redskins are coming off a pitiful loss to the Colts where Alex Smith and their whole offense couldn’t do anything. I actually think this game will be closer than we think and a potential upset alert. Alex Smith at home getting back on track against a banged up Rodgers and a below average GB D. This could either go blowout GB or tight game, so I’ll go in between. Maybe the Skins can even get in the end zone a few times!
Winner: Packers to win 27-21, cover
Chargers @ Rams -7, OU 49 (Late):
The Chargers got their first win over a halftime retiring Buffalo Bills team but their offense found some sort of chemistry. The Rams are legit. They shutout the Cards in Week 2 34-0 and Todd Gurley looks like Shaun Alexander from Madden 04. Sick bastard. I love Robert Woods, Gurley, Cooks, Mike Williams, Melvin Gordon, Goff and Keenan Allen. Think this will be closer than people think because there isn’t much travel, it’s a battle for LA and the Chargers are underrated.
Winner: Rams to win 31-27, Chargers cover, over 49
Bears @ Cardinals +6, OU 38.5 (Late):
Daaa Bears have been really fun to watch through two weeks. Trubisky has not been incredible but serviceable. Jordan Howard is a stud and Trubisky loves Allen Robinson. The Bears D has been sick and a good option this week because we could see a few different QBs for AZ. David Johnson has been held in check thus far and Khalil Mack and the crew won’t make it any easier. I like Howard, Bears D, Fitzy and Allen Robinson in this one but think it will be a clunker of a game to watch.
Prediction: Bears to win 23-13, cover, under 38.5
Cowboys @ Seahawks -1.5, OU 41 (Late):
Two of the more interesting teams in the NFL. Are either of them any good? Dallas enters 1-1 and maybe found their offense a bit? Seattle is 0-2 but have played two pretty decent teams. The Seahawks have a terrible OLine which kills their run game and Russell Wilson’s success. The Cowboys D is severely underrated and think that’s the difference in the game. I like Zeke this week and that’s about it. Will be a fun game to watch because both teams are polarizing, not because they’re Super Bowl contenders.
Prediction: Cowboys win 21-17, cover, under 41.5
Patriots @ Lions +6.5, OU 55 (Sunday Night): The Lions are still winless under new Head Coach Matt Patricia and it will stay that way when Belichek, Brady, Gronk, Hogan, Gordon and whatever RB they decide to roll with come to Detroit and light them up. Why is this Sunday Night Football? I want to watch a good game. The Detroit WRs may have good numbers from playing from behind and Stafford may throw 50 times. This, along with the Vikings/Bills, could be blowouts and are good survivor picks.
Prediction: Patriots to win 41-21, cover, over 55
Steelers @ Buccaneers +1, OU 54 (Monday Night):
Fitzy has toasted the first two playoff contenders and the Steelers D can’t stop a thing. But something tells me it’s not gonna last that long. Mike Evans is a freak and he loves DeSean. There are some fantasy gems in this game and neither D is one of them. But remember, Joe Haden is back which could make a big difference. AB is back and they’ll target him 400 times because he was angry and the media went nuts saying he wanted a trade. Juju will go off, Big Ben will throw 55 times, James Conner will get 25 touches and Jesse James could be a nice streaming TE. I’m not on the Bucs hype train as much as most but this will be a fun one to watch. Someone tell Fitzy two good games doesn’t make a career please.
Prediction: Steelers to win 37-28, cover, over 54